Manitoba’s Hydrologic Forecast Centre announced on Friday March 1, 2024, that the February Flood Outlook Report indicates low to moderate risk of significant spring flooding.
The report says Normal- to below-normal soil moisture at freeze-up and normal- to well-below-normal winter precipitation for most Manitoba basins have contributed to the low-to-moderate risk of spring flooding across the province. Water levels are expected to remain below dikes and community or individual flood protection levels. However, the risk of flooding may change depending on weather conditions including amount of precipitation between now and the spring melt.
Spring flooding risk is low to moderate for Red River and tributaries including the Roseau River and the Pembina River. It is considered low for the Assiniboine, Souris and Qu’Apelle Rivers and in northern Manitoba including the Saskatchewan and Carrot Rivers. Flooding on the Fisher River and the Icelandic River is considered moderate as there is a risk of ice jam-related flooding.
The province says that the Red River Floodway is not expected to be operated under normal and favourable future weather scenarios. However, in the event of unfavourable weather conditions, the floodway could be operated to mitigate water levels in Winnipeg.
The forecast could change depending on weather events like the one passing through the province this weekend. The next forecast is expected in late March.
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